Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Irvine
Big West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#102
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#114
Pace63.9#244
Improvement+1.5#117

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#102
Improvement+0.1#174

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#102
Improvement+1.4#104
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round11.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 217   Pacific W 68-50 82%     1 - 0 +12.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Nov 19, 2014 2   @ Arizona L 54-71 4%     1 - 1 +8.1 +12.6 +12.6
  Nov 23, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's L 69-72 26%     1 - 2 +7.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 29, 2014 238   @ Loyola Marymount W 80-72 70%     2 - 2 +6.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 03, 2014 189   @ Fresno St. L 63-72 60%     2 - 3 -7.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 06, 2014 216   Sacramento St. W 74-62 82%     3 - 3 +6.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Dec 13, 2014 203   Texas Arlington L 62-70 80%     3 - 4 -13.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 16, 2014 341   @ Morgan St. L 62-63 91%     3 - 5 -11.7 -5.4 -5.4
  Dec 21, 2014 242   Bradley W 55-47 80%     4 - 5 +3.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Dec 22, 2014 79   Green Bay W 72-70 43%     5 - 5 +7.9 +2.9 +2.9
  Dec 29, 2014 47   @ Oregon L 67-69 OT 21%     5 - 6 +10.4 +6.2 +6.2
  Jan 03, 2015 113   @ New Mexico St. L 67-70 41%     5 - 7 +3.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 08, 2015 137   Long Beach St. L 82-88 69%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -7.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Jan 10, 2015 218   UC Riverside W 69-55 82%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +8.2 -2.9 -2.9
  Jan 15, 2015 295   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 63-58 79%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +0.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 22, 2015 260   @ Cal St. Northridge W 80-49 74%     8 - 8 3 - 1 +28.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 24, 2015 123   @ Hawaii W 78-72 44%     9 - 8 4 - 1 +11.6 +2.8 +2.8
  Jan 29, 2015 154   Cal Poly W 67-57 73%     10 - 8 5 - 1 +7.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Jan 31, 2015 109   UC Santa Barbara W 77-55 62%     11 - 8 6 - 1 +22.9 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 05, 2015 110   UC Davis L 56-75 63%     11 - 9 6 - 2 -18.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 07, 2015 137   @ Long Beach St. W 56-55 47%     12 - 9 7 - 2 +5.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Feb 14, 2015 218   @ UC Riverside L 63-70 66%     12 - 10 7 - 3 -7.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 19, 2015 123   Hawaii W 75-60 66%     13 - 10 8 - 3 +14.9 -0.1 -0.1
  Feb 21, 2015 260   Cal St. Northridge W 67-58 88%     14 - 10 9 - 3 +0.6 -4.2 -4.2
  Feb 26, 2015 154   @ Cal Poly W 63-56 52%     15 - 10 10 - 3 +10.4 +1.7 +1.7
  Feb 28, 2015 109   @ UC Santa Barbara L 51-54 40%     15 - 11 10 - 4 +3.6 +3.3 +3.3
  Mar 05, 2015 295   Cal St. Fullerton W 68-62 90%     16 - 11 11 - 4 -4.1 -5.1 -5.1
  Mar 07, 2015 110   @ UC Davis L 61-80 40%     16 - 12 11 - 5 -12.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Mar 12, 2015 218   UC Riverside W 63-54 75%     17 - 12 +6.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Mar 13, 2015 109   UC Santa Barbara W 72-63 OT 51%     18 - 12 +12.7 +1.9 +1.9
  Mar 14, 2015 123   Hawaii W 67-58 55%     19 - 12 +11.8 +1.4 +1.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.1 0.0 12.5 65.5 21.7 0.3
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 12.5 65.5 21.7 0.3